Dems Will Take House?

Well they may or may not. This guy does a fine job of parsing the polls and everything looks good for the Dems unless it doesn't. Confused? Read his analysis and you'll be more confused. The numbers, and other factors, don't promise anything.

IN SEPTEMBER of 1984, an ABC/Washington Post poll asked registered voters whether they preferred a Democrat or a Republican to represent their congressional districts. By a 15-point margin, respondents favored Democrats. On Election Day 1984, Democrats lost 14 seats in the House. In 1996, a similar question produced a 14-point edge for Democrats; in that election they gained 9 House seats. The lesson is that polls are important tools for understanding politics. Except when they're not.

And he adds this.

And Democrats have shown time and again that they can blow a lead like nobody's business.

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