Bad Move, Karl. Looks Like You Picked The Wrong Horse To Ride In November

Considering the poll I posted just before this post, Rove's idea of framing the mid-term elections around Iraq may not be such a good idea. Americans do see Iraq as the biggest issue in the elections, but...

ABC News/Washington Post Poll. June 22-25, 2006. N=1,000 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (for all adults). Fieldwork by TNS. RV = registered voter

"Which political party -- the Democrats or the Republicans -- do you trust to do a better job handling the situation in Iraq?" Options rotated. Half sample.


The fact is, the Repugs just don't have any advantage concerning Iraq. The difference is 6 points in favour of the Dems, but could be as little as 3 or as high as 9 because of the margin of error (± 3). Those are pretty good odds.

(source)