Friday, February 03, 2006

Iran Next? No. 3

Been a while since I've looked at this topic (here) and (here).

It appears Russia and China are quite concerned Iran will go ahead with uranium enrichment. If so, they expect a massive attack on Iran, initially by air from Isreal. These beliefs are based on war games they have conducted. Their war games then see retaliation by Iran against US naval ships and US-British ground forces in Iraq.

This is where it gets good.

If Iranian missiles have chemical warheads (in fact or presumed), the US will immediately use nuclear weapons to destroy the Iranian military and industrial infrastructure. If not, an air campaign of up to two weeks will prepare the ground campaign for the occupation of the Iranian oil and gas fields.

The fact is, US and British forces can quickly redeploy to Iran. This means being spread too thin in Iraq is not a factor. They will abandon the fight there and head for the newest "hot spot" just like they did when moving from Afganistan to Iraq.

In the SOTU address and other speeches, shrub has made it quite clear conservation is not an option. The American people want all the oil they need now and he will damn well see they have it.

Should anyone read this. Doubtful. When I said it "gets good" I was being ironic.

(read more)

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